Volume 12, Letter 1 Coronavirus Update 51
December 20th, 2021
The beginning of year 12 starts with Covid. Go figure!
Omicron appears less deadly and more contagious.
Early reports are showing vast increases in spread rate but also significant reductions in lung based inflammation and disease. If these early reports play out to be true, we are in for a nice denoument to this pandemic. Fingers crossed.
North Carolina remains in relative normalcy in most places. The northern United States and especially the cities that are entering winter like conditions are seeing significant increases. Europe is also seeing large spikes in the colder climate countries.
There is an increase in the 7 day moving average of cases for the US since 10/24/21. The good news is that hospitalization and deaths have not tracked along with this average. The cases are still uncoupled for the vaccinated individuals as Delta and Omicron are mixing it up.
If you have had 2 doses of an mRNA vaccine or had previous natural infection, you have a very very small risk of a significant hospitalization and therefore death from the Delta or Omicron variant based on statistics overall, however, you are likely to get some illness from Omicron now as it has escaped the two dose series protection. The caveat remains that these realities are left untrue when we see that the reinfected person has advancing age and metabolic diseases putting them chronically at risk for potential negative outcomes.
As it stands today, the United States has had 51 million known cases and almost 805,000 deaths.
As with the first newsletter on this topic, keep solace with the fact that there is a 99+% chance of survival for all of us regardless of vaccination. However,
mathematically, you now have a 99.9998% chance of survival once vaccinated and the vaccine safety for the mRNA vaccines continues to look good.
Why take on that extra risk?
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